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American Express spring 2026 data shows rising card delinquencies

American Express has reported higher credit card delinquency and write-off rates for spring 2026, signalling growing financial strain among US borrowers. The figures could have knock-on effects for UK cardholders and investors exposed to consumer credit markets.

  • American Express reported an increase in card delinquency and net write-off rates for spring 2026.
  • The delinquency rate rose to 2.1% in March 2026, up from 1.8% a year earlier.
  • Net write-offs climbed to 3.4%, compared with 2.9% in spring 2025.
  • Analysts cite persistent inflation and high interest rates as key drivers of consumer stress.
  • UK investors in US credit markets may see volatility in financial sector stocks.

American Express has released its latest credit performance data for spring 2026, revealing a notable uptick in both card delinquency and write-off rates. The New York-based lender reported that the delinquency rate for its card members reached 2.1% in March 2026, up from 1.8% during the same period last year. Net write-offs — debts the company does not expect to recover — rose to 3.4%, compared with 2.9% in spring 2025.

The increase marks a continuation of the trend seen across the US consumer credit market, where borrowers have struggled with elevated living costs and borrowing costs. Although American Express typically serves higher-credit-score customers, the data suggests that even more affluent households are feeling the pinch of sustained inflation and the lingering effects of higher interest rates.

For UK investors, the figures are a reminder of the interconnected nature of global consumer finance. American Express shares trade on the New York Stock Exchange, but the company's performance influences sentiment in the wider financial sector, including UK-listed banks and card issuers. A deterioration in US consumer credit can weigh on London-listed financial stocks, particularly those with exposure to unsecured lending.

Analysts at several City firms have noted that the rise in write-offs, while still below pandemic-era peaks, signals that consumer balance sheets are under pressure. 'The trend is consistent with a normalisation of credit conditions after a period of exceptionally low defaults,' said one analyst, who asked not to be named. 'But the pace of the increase is worth watching, especially if the US economy slows further.'

The data comes as the Bank of England continues to monitor household debt levels in the UK. While British card delinquency rates have not risen as sharply, the US figures could foreshadow similar trends if the UK economy weakens. Investors holding shares in UK-focused card providers or diversified financial groups should be aware of the potential for increased provisioning costs in upcoming earnings reports.

Source: American Express monthly credit performance report, March 2026

Why this matters: UK consumers and investors are exposed to US credit trends through global financial markets and the performance of UK-listed banks with international operations. Rising delinquencies could signal broader economic strain that may eventually affect UK household credit conditions.

What this means for you: What this means for you: If you hold shares in UK banks or financial funds with US exposure, rising US card defaults could affect your portfolio's value. It also serves as a potential early warning for UK credit conditions if the economic outlook deteriorates.

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