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BP forecasts up to $4.5bn hit from green energy pivot

BP expects a post-tax impairment charge of $3bn to $4.5bn in its third-quarter update, as the company shifts away from its aggressive green targets.

  • BP anticipates a post-tax impairment charge of $3bn to $4.5bn in its energy transition unit.
  • The company previously cut its planned transition capital expenditure by over $5bn annually to a target of up to $2bn.
  • BP forecasts a significant reduction in net debt to $13.5bn to $14.5bn, down from $22.3bn in the second quarter.

FTSE 100 energy firm BP has informed markets that its upcoming third-quarter update will include a post-tax impairment charge ranging from $3bn to $4.5bn. These charges are primarily linked to transition businesses within its gas and low carbon energy segment.

This move follows a substantial scaling back of BP's green ambitions earlier this year, which saw the company reduce its planned transition capital expenditure by more than $5bn annually, targeting up to $2bn. In the final quarter of 2025, BP had already forecast write-downs of between $4bn and $5bn as it began to reassess its strategy for transition assets.

BP has also started selling off and restructuring parts of its transition unit, including the sale of a majority of its clean-energy and transition-focused venture capital portfolio in July 2026. This strategic shift comes amid pressure from activist investor Elliott Management to reduce renewable investments and increase fossil fuel spending.

Separately, BP anticipates a strong quarter, forecasting a major reduction in its net debt to between $13.5bn and $14.5bn, a decrease from $22.3bn in the second quarter. Stronger refining margins are also expected to contribute a $1.9bn to $2.1bn earnings boost compared to the previous quarter, following a surge in fuel prices.

Why this matters: This financial adjustment reflects BP's strategic shift away from aggressive green targets, potentially impacting its long-term energy transition plans.

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