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China's economic growth picks up to 4.5% amid AI export boom

China's economy grew by 4.5% in the third quarter of 2026, driven by a surge in exports related to artificial intelligence, offsetting weak domestic spending.

  • China's economy expanded by 4.5% in the third quarter of 2026, up from 4.3% in the previous period.
  • The growth was boosted by exports, particularly computer chips and components for AI data centres.
  • The latest growth figure is at the lower end of Beijing's annual target of 4.5%-5%.

China's economic growth accelerated in the three months to the end of September 2026, reaching 4.5%. This rebound from a three-year low was largely attributed to a boom in artificial intelligence (AI) related exports.

The world's second-largest economy saw its growth rise from 4.3% in the previous quarter, though it remained below the 5% expansion recorded earlier in the year. This latest figure sits at the bottom end of Beijing's annual growth target of 4.5%-5%.

Exports have played a crucial role in offsetting weak domestic spending, with global demand for computer chips and other AI components driving growth. This has helped to ease pressure on Beijing amid sluggish domestic consumption, a prolonged property slump, weak wage growth, and high youth unemployment.

China's trade surplus is on track to surpass last year's record of $1.2tn (£900bn) as exports climb. However, the economic outlook is clouded by global trade tensions and uncertainties surrounding the profitability of significant AI investments.

Why this matters: China's economic performance, particularly its reliance on exports and the impact of AI, can have broader implications for global trade and economic stability.

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