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China's Economy Grows 4.5% in Q3, Driven by Exports

China's economy grew by 4.5% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2026, exceeding economists' expectations, primarily due to strong exports. However, domestic demand, including property and fixed investment, remained weak.

  • China's GDP grew by 4.5% year-on-year between June and September 2026.
  • Industrial production increased by 5.5% in September, while retail sales rose by 1.1%.
  • Fixed-asset investment fell by 7.2% and property investment tumbled by 20.6% over the first nine months of the year.

China's economic growth in the third quarter of 2026 was lifted by strong exports, with the country's GDP expanding by 4.5% year-on-year between June and September. This figure surpassed economists' expectations and marked an increase from the second quarter's 4.3% growth.

The economy grew by 4.6% in the first nine months of the year, positioning it to meet the government's 2026 growth target of 4.5% to 5% without additional stimulus measures. Industrial production saw a rise of 5.5% in September, up from 5.2%, and retail sales increased by 1.1%, an improvement from 0.4%.

Despite these gains, domestic demand showed weakness. Fixed-asset investment declined by 7.2% over the first nine months, and property investment fell by 20.6%. Infrastructure spending also remained weak, indicating a disparity between the factory sector and household, property, and investment sectors, according to analyst Stephen Innes.

In Asian stock markets, Japan's Nikkei fell 0.6%, while China's CSI 300 rose 0.28%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng climbed 0.%, and South Korea's Kospi added 1.5%.

Separately, increasing street protests in France have put pressure on the euro, which dipped 0.2% to $1.1218 against the dollar. French bonds also sold off, pushing yields higher, with the yield on the 10-year French government bond rising over 6 basis points to 4.842%.

Why this matters: China's reliance on exports for economic growth highlights its dependence on global demand, potentially bringing trade imbalances into focus.

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