The crucial transit route through the Strait of Hormuz has seen a surge in ship traffic as the US-Iran deal begins to take effect, but experts warn that pre-conflict levels may still be some way off. At least 172 vessels have navigated the waterway since the agreement was signed, with a notable spike on Saturday when 42 ships passed through. While this marks an increase from recent months, it falls short of the pre-war average, with only around 30% of pre-conflict levels currently being reached.
Among those vessels making the journey are numerous tankers connected to Iran, which have been cleared for transit following the lifting of a US naval blockade as part of the deal. The relaxation of decades-long sanctions by the US Treasury has also allowed for the sale of Iranian crude oil and petrochemicals up until 21 August.
However, concerns over sea mines in the strait's central shipping lanes have held back ship traffic, with the Joint Maritime Information Center (JMIC) advising vessels to steer clear of this area 'due to the existence of mines'. Ongoing mine clearance operations only add to the complexity. Despite Iran's commitment under the deal to ensuring safe passage for commercial ships without charge for 60 days, ship owners and operators remain cautious.
The agreement signed last week sets out terms for transiting the strait, which will be overseen by Iran's Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA). As global trade continues to rely on this vital waterway, its stability is being closely watched. The deal aims to reassure international shipping companies that commercial vessels can safely navigate through the strait, but some experts believe more time is needed for confidence to fully return.