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First-Time Buyer Enquiries Drop 27% Following Base Rate Rise

First-time buyer enquiries for homes have fallen by 27% in the last week compared to the same period last year, according to Zoopla, after the Bank of England raised the base rate to 4%.

  • Estate agent enquiries from first-time buyers are down 27% year-on-year.
  • The number of sales being agreed is 10.5% lower than last year.
  • The number of homes for sale has increased by 9% compared to last year.

First-time buyers have paused their moving plans following the Bank of England's decision last week to increase the base rate to 4%. Zoopla reports a 27% reduction in estate agent enquiries from first-time buyers in the past week compared to the same period last year.

This slowdown in buyer enquiries is observed across all property types. The number of sales agreed is tracking 10.5% lower than last year, leading to a 9% increase in the number of homes available for sale.

Richard Donnell, executive director at Zoopla, noted that higher mortgage rates have reduced the buying power of all buyers by an average of 15% since the start of the year. He stated that first-time buyers are crucial to the housing market, accounting for four in 10 sales last year.

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (Rics) survey aligns with Zoopla's findings, with its members reporting falling or stagnant housing demand. The outlook from Rics members for future property sales over the next 12 months is the most pessimistic since July 2023.

In southern England, the gap between supply and sales is particularly noticeable. The South East has seen homes for sale rise by 12% and sales agreed fall by 16% year-on-year, with house prices decreasing by 0.6%. Conversely, in northern England, the number of homes for sale remains largely unchanged, and house prices continue to rise, with annual growth of 3.2% in the North West and 2.4% in the North East.

Why this matters: The reduction in first-time buyer activity, who are a significant driver of the housing market, combined with increased stock and fewer sales, suggests a shift in market conditions.

What this means for you: If you are a seller, there are more homes to choose from, particularly at the more affordable end of the market, and pricing realistically is increasingly important.

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