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German regional elections show varied results beyond far-right gains

Recent regional elections in Germany this month have shown diverse outcomes, with significant results for both the far-right and left-wing parties, challenging a singular narrative of far-right dominance.

  • The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) achieved a record 43.8% in Saxony-Anhalt and 38.2% in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, but has not yet formed a government in Saxony-Anhalt.
  • The Christian Democratic Union (CDU) experienced a significant defeat in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, failing to enter a state parliament for the first time in the Federal Republic's history.
  • The Left party (Die Linke) secured a victory in the Berlin state election, gaining almost twice as many new votes as the AfD, with a majority of young women (54%) voting for the party.

Germany held three regional elections this month, each yielding unique results that challenge a simplified narrative of far-right success. In Saxony-Anhalt's election on 6 September, the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) achieved a record score of 43.8%. Despite this, the party has not yet formed a government.

Two weeks later, the AfD again came in first in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern with 38.2% of the vote. This outcome was overshadowed by a significant defeat for Chancellor Friedrich Merz's Christian Democratic Union (CDU), which failed to enter a state parliament for the first time in the Federal Republic of Germany's history.

The Berlin state election, held on the same day, saw the Left party (Die Linke) achieve a notable victory, gaining almost double the new votes compared to the AfD, which placed third. Berlin is now likely to be governed by a Left-Greens-SPD coalition, led by Elif Eralp. A striking 54% of young women voted for the Left party, indicating a broader left-wing trend among this demographic.

While the success of the far right and the defeats of established parties are significant, two of the three states are likely to have left-wing governments, a development described as newsworthy given the increasing rarity of purely left-wing governments in Europe.

Why this matters: The varied outcomes of these German regional elections highlight complexities in contemporary European politics, suggesting that voter dissatisfaction benefits both left and right-wing parties, and challenging a singular focus on far-right gains.

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