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Global Oceans Record Hottest July Amid Developing El Niño Conditions

Global oceans reached their highest recorded temperatures in July, partly due to developing El Niño conditions, while western Europe experienced record heat and wildfires.

  • The average sea surface temperature outside polar regions was 20.96C in July, surpassing the 2023 record.
  • July 2026 was the joint second-warmest July globally on record, 1.47C above the pre-industrial average.
  • Western Europe experienced its hottest June and July on record, leading to widespread wildfires.

The world's oceans recorded their hottest ever temperatures in July, with an average sea surface temperature of 20.96C outside the polar regions. This figure, reported by the EU's climate monitoring service, exceeds the previous July high of 20.89C set in 2023.

Developing El Niño conditions in the Pacific are partly fuelling these record ocean temperatures. El Niño is a natural weather pattern that, when combined with human-driven global warming, can lead to temperature spikes and more extreme weather events.

Globally, last month was the joint second-warmest July on record, with temperatures 1.47C above the estimated pre-industrial average, according to the Copernicus Climate Change Service. Sea temperatures remained exceptionally high across much of the tropical Pacific, where El Niño conditions are forecast to strengthen.

Around Europe, sea surface temperatures reached record highs along the Atlantic coast and in the western Mediterranean, contributing to strong and severe marine heatwaves. Western Europe also experienced its hottest June and July on record, with prolonged hot and dry conditions exacerbating extreme wildfires across the region.

The UK is preparing for its fifth heatwave of the year this week. Persistent dry weather is putting further pressure on water supplies and could lead to more areas being declared in drought.

Why this matters: Warmer oceans absorb less carbon dioxide, leaving more planet-warming gas in the atmosphere, and can adversely affect marine ecosystems by disrupting food chains.

What this means for you: The prolonged dry spell in the UK is increasing pressure on water supplies, and more areas of England could be declared in drought if dry conditions continue.

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