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HPV Jab: 'Close to Zero' Cervical Cancer Risk for Vaccinated Young Women

A new study reveals that young women vaccinated against HPV at school age now face a near-zero risk of dying from cervical cancer before 30. Hundreds of lives have been saved in England since the vaccine's introduction in 2008.

  • Young women vaccinated against HPV at 12-13 have a near-zero risk of cervical cancer death before age 30.
  • The HPV vaccine has saved approximately 200 lives in England since its introduction in 2008.
  • Between 2020-2024, no cervical cancer deaths were recorded in women aged 20-24, a first for a five-year period.
  • Despite success, vaccination rates in England (76%) are below the 90% target set by the WHO for elimination.
  • Cervical screening remains crucial for women aged 25-64, even for those who have been vaccinated.

New research has revealed a landmark achievement in public health, indicating that young women who received the Human Papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine at ages 12-13 now have a close to zero risk of dying from cervical cancer before reaching 30. The study, the first of its kind, highlights a significant reduction in deaths since the vaccine was offered to school-age girls in England from 2008, with around 200 lives estimated to have been saved.

A particularly striking finding shows that for the first time over a five-year period, between 2020 and 2024, no cervical cancer deaths were recorded among women aged 20 to 24. This contrasts sharply with an expected 23 deaths had the vaccination programme not been in place. Professor Peter Sasieni, lead researcher at Queen Mary University of London, described the achievement as “incredible,” noting that a single jab could almost eliminate a specific type of cancer. HPV is responsible for approximately 99% of cervical cancer cases, which remains the 14th most common cancer among females in the UK, with around 3,300 diagnoses annually.

The positive impact of the vaccine is expected to grow further as vaccinated generations age, leading to a continued decline in mortality rates from the disease. Cancer Research UK, which funded the research, lauded the findings as an “incredible milestone.” However, the organisation also issued a warning regarding current vaccination uptake levels in England, which are falling short of recommended targets.

Latest data from the UK Health Security Agency indicates that 76% of girls in England were vaccinated by the age of 15 in 2024-25. This figure is considerably lower than the 90% vaccination rate that the World Health Organization (WHO) deems necessary to eliminate cervical cancer as a public health problem. The UK government has set an ambitious target to achieve this elimination by 2040, but this goal may be jeopardised if uptake rates do not improve.

Organisations like Cancer Research UK are calling for urgent, targeted action from the UK Government and health systems to address communities where vaccination uptake is lowest. Dr Sharif Ismail from the UK Health Security Agency encouraged young people who may have missed their vaccination to come forward. It is also crucial to remember that despite the success of the HPV vaccine, cervical screening (formerly known as a smear test) remains vital. Women aged 25 to 64 are still advised to attend their regular screening appointments, as it helps detect abnormal cell changes that could lead to cancer, even in vaccinated individuals.

Source: Queen Mary University of London, Cancer Research UK, UK Health Security Agency

Why this matters: This study demonstrates the profound success of a major public health initiative in the UK, directly saving lives and significantly reducing the burden of cervical cancer. It highlights both the triumphs of medical science and the ongoing need for sustained public health efforts.

What this means for you: What this means for you: If you are eligible for the HPV vaccine, getting it offers substantial protection against cervical cancer. If you are a woman aged 25-64, regular cervical screening remains crucial for your health, regardless of vaccination status. Always consult your GP or call NHS 111 with health concerns.

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