The question of what lies ahead for Sir Keir Starmer is one that has dominated Westminster speculation since his departure from Downing Street, as he joins a select group of ten living former Prime Ministers. The outgoing leader's future plans are set to be scrutinised closely by the public and politicians alike, with some wondering if he will opt for a role within the Foreign Office or return to the backbenches.
However, returning to a senior cabinet position in the Foreign Office might not be on the cards, given Sir Keir's recent unpopularity and the desire of his successor, Andy Burnham, to present a fresh image. This move could also limit Mr Burnham's ability to placate potential rivals within his own cabinet, as seen in previous instances where outgoing Prime Ministers have taken up senior roles.
Alternatively, Sir Keir could opt for a quieter existence on the backbenches, maintaining a behind-the-scenes influence and pursuing private sector opportunities. This is a path taken by figures such as Rishi Sunak, who remains an MP despite no longer holding office, allowing him to continue contributing to policy debates while exploring other avenues. However, there's also the example of Ted Heath, who remained in Parliament for decades after being ousted, facing criticism for his perceived inability to move on.
Others have chosen a life outside Parliament, with Sir Tony Blair and Gordon Brown engaging in public discourse through interventions in contemporary politics, while Boris Johnson has pursued lucrative speaking engagements. For Sir Keir, the challenge will be to find a role that allows his experience and position to contribute meaningfully, rather than simply fading into obscurity or engaging in cynical self-enrichment.
Some analysts suggest that Sir Keir is at his best when focused on specific, personal injustices, rather than the broader levers of state. This could lead him to champion a particular cause, such as advocating for those impacted by historical state failures like the Post Office scandal, or pushing for broader legal changes to hold the state accountable for its mistakes.