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London Takeover Spree Accelerates Amidst Valuations Concerns

London-listed companies are experiencing a surge in takeover bids, with foreign buyers acquiring firms at significant premiums. This trend raises concerns among City bankers about the long-term health and replenishment of the UK market.

  • Value of agreed takeovers of London-listed firms this year reached $34.8bn, almost double last year's total.
  • Foreign buyers are acquiring UK companies at an average premium of 36% above their market value.
  • Concerns are growing among City bankers about the 'draining' of the London Stock Exchange and a lack of new listings.
  • Suggestions for tax system changes to encourage domestic investment in UK firms are being considered.
  • Prospects for new IPOs remain uncertain due to global volatility and specific sector challenges.

London's stock market is witnessing a frenzied takeover activity, with £26.4bn ($34.8bn) worth of deals agreed so far this year, nearly double last year's total according to LSEG data. This surge in foreign buyers snapping up British firms at premiums as high as 60% above their market value has sparked both excitement and unease among City insiders.

The trend is exemplified by Easyjet's potential £5bn+ takeover talks with US private equity firm Castlelake, while Ramsdens' acceptance of a £175m offer from American rival Firstcash is another high-profile deal. Even FTSE 100 constituent Segro rejected a £12.6bn offer from Californian real estate investor Prologis last month. While this activity is generating fees for advisors, some bankers are concerned about the long-term implications for the London Stock Exchange.

Analysts attribute the exodus of companies to years of outflows from UK equity funds and persistently sluggish valuations compared to international markets. Peel Hunt data shows that the average offer price for the 29 bids announced this year has been at a premium of 36% above market value. Deals like Intertek's £6.1bn sale saw premiums of approximately 60%, prompting James Ashton, chief of the Quoted Companies Alliance, to question why overseas buyers consistently value British growth companies higher than domestic investors.

Some figures have called for policy intervention to encourage domestic investment. Andy Haldane, an adviser to Andy Burnham and chair of the British Chamber of Commerce, has suggested using the tax system to incentivise British investors to back homegrown firms. He proposed a 'tilting of the playing field' in the tax system to create a domestic bias, although the government has previously faced resistance to mandating pension funds to invest in UK companies.

While there are tentative signs of a potential shift, with UK equity funds seeing their first net inflows since November 2024 in May, according to Calastone data, City figures believe the trend of takeovers will continue without increased domestic backing. Bankers hope that a new wave of listings from companies like Waterstones and fintech firm SumUp could help replenish the market post-summer. However, a broader revival in Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) has been hampered by global volatility, including geopolitical events and the impact of AI on technology stocks, leading to postponements of anticipated listings.

Why this matters: This trend could impact the availability of investment opportunities in UK-listed companies for domestic investors and pension funds, potentially affecting long-term returns and the UK's economic landscape.

What this means for you: What this means for you: If you hold investments in UK equity funds or have a pension, the trend of takeovers and foreign acquisition of British companies could influence the composition and performance of your portfolio. It also highlights ongoing discussions about the health of the UK's public markets.

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