The by-election in Makerfield has ignited a firestorm within the Labour Party, threatening to upend its leadership dynamics. In a surprise twist, US talk show host John Oliver highlighted the significance of this northern England constituency, where a Labour defeat could prove a devastating blow to the party's reputation.
Incumbent Labour MP for Makerfield has stepped down, sparking speculation that Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham is poised to seize the opportunity. Burnham, known as 'King of the North', has hinted at challenging Sir Keir Starmer for the Labour leadership if he wins in Makerfield. This move comes on the back of the party's dismal performance in recent local elections, where Labour lost over 1,400 seats.
Sir Keir Starmer, who would have become Prime Minister in a 2024 general election victory, faces criticism for the UK's economic woes and policy decisions, including appointing Peter Mandelson as ambassador to Washington. Oliver noted that some of this criticism stems from Labour's shift towards more centre-right policies, such as designating Palestine Action as a terrorist organisation. This has led several former Labour supporters to flock to the Green Party.
The contest is further complicated by Reform UK's rise under Nigel Farage, who secured nearly 1,500 seats in recent local elections. Oliver pointed out that while Reform UK has momentum, concerns surround its policies and Farage's ongoing investigation into a personal gift. Robert Kenyon, Reform UK's candidate in Makerfield, is a local resident but his social media history recently came under scrutiny.
Makerfield has been a Labour stronghold for 120 years with 76,000 registered voters, but its strong pro-Brexit vote (65% in favour) suggests the constituency may be more unpredictable than previously thought. Additionally, some constituents view Burnham's candidacy as a 'stepping stone' to Downing Street, which could sway voter sentiment. The by-election is not just a local contest, but also serves as a barometer for national politics and Labour's internal stability.