The Makerfield byelection is a crucial test of Labour's leadership and its ability to appeal to voters who feel insecure and anxious about their futures. Andy Burnham, the Greater Manchester mayor, is standing for the Labour Party in the byelection, which is taking place amidst a backdrop of anti-Westminster sentiment.
According to a recent article in The Guardian, the resignations of the defence secretary and his deputy from the heart of government have deepened the anti-Westminster mood ahead of the byelection. The article suggests that Labour's leader, Sir Keir Starmer, is facing a challenge from within his own party, with some ministers questioning his claim to competence.
Burnham's campaign is centred on the idea that Labour can beat the populist right by becoming more emotionally legible while fighting for better public services and a fairer deal for voters. He styles himself as a party insider who is outside Westminster, an experienced politician who is not involved in the present governing mess.
The byelection is a test of Labour's ability to speak to working-class insecurity without scapegoating minorities. Makerfield's voters are not just factory workers or trade union members, but also carers, tradespeople, the self-employed and families living with ill health. Many work hard but do not feel secure, and Labour's response to their concerns will be watched closely.
A win for Labour would show that the party can speak to working-class insecurity without resorting to the politics of anger and scapegoating that has become a hallmark of the populist right. It would also be a crucial test of Burnham's leadership ambitions and his ability to appeal to voters who feel anxious and insecure about their futures.