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Prison population in England and Wales estimated to reach 105,000 by 2028

The prison population in England and Wales has seen a significant increase, rising from 40,000 in 1991 to 88,000 in 2024, with projections indicating it will reach 105,000 by 2028.

  • The prison population in England and Wales was 40,000 in 1991 and 88,000 in 2024.
  • The prison population in England and Wales is estimated to reach 105,000 by 2028.
  • Four Lord Chief Justices stated two years ago that sentences have increased, contributing to full prisons.

Prisons in England and Wales are currently full, a situation attributed to increased sentencing. The prison population has grown substantially, from 40,000 in 1991 to 88,000 in 2024. Projections indicate this number will rise further, reaching an estimated 105,000 by 2028.

Despite government promises to increase capacity, no administration this century has been able to expand fast enough to manage the growing numbers. A prisons inspector previously likened the situation to an overflowing bath, suggesting the need to either reduce the inflow or release some water.

The introduction of an early release scheme faced public opposition. Andy Burnham, among others, is urged to consider that current sentences may be too high. The purpose of prison is understood to be threefold: punishment, public protection, and rehabilitation, all of which are dependent on complementary conditions.

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