The dramatic outcome of the Makerfield by-election has catapulted Labour's leadership crisis into sharp focus, forcing Sir Keir Starmer to confront the prospect of a challenge from Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham.
Insiders close to Burnham suggest that he is acutely aware that, after 16 years out of ministerial office and nine years without a parliamentary seat, a longer period of preparation might be necessary before launching a direct bid for the premiership. Concerns have also been raised about the perceived similarities between his policy platform and that of Boris Johnson, as well as recent polling data showing a decline in his net approval ratings since he expressed interest in national leadership.
Meanwhile, within Downing Street, Starmer's team is bracing themselves for a potential challenge. While they are expected to resist any immediate attempt to oust him, there are signs that pragmatic approaches are being considered to manage the situation. Starmer's closest allies acknowledge that questions about his leadership will need to be addressed in the coming months, but discussions are underway to explore ways for Burnham to play a significant role within a future Labour government.
One proposal under consideration is offering Mr. Burnham Privy Council terms for defence and intelligence briefings, similar to pre-election transition talks. Additionally, there are reports of a potential cabinet position being discussed for him, possibly in a new portfolio focused on constitutional renewal. This move could be seen as a strategic attempt to integrate him into the party fold and prevent a direct challenge, but others caution that it might be perceived as a hostile act designed to put him at a disadvantage.
The current climate suggests a desire among some for cooler heads to prevail, preventing the Labour Party from descending into an internal conflict at a time when the UK faces significant domestic and international challenges. As Starmer and Burnham navigate this delicate balance between asserting their political ambitions and maintaining party unity, the outcome of the Makerfield by-election serves as a critical trigger for these deliberations.