The UK's summer weather is set to remain a mixed bag, with forecasts indicating that a prolonged, widespread heatwave may not be on the horizon – at least, not yet. As of 23 July 2026, Met Office experts suggest there's only a relatively low chance of a sustained period of exceptionally high temperatures engulfing all four nations in the immediate future.
Those living in northern and western areas of the UK, including much of Scotland, Northern Ireland, and parts of Wales, can expect cooler, unsettled weather, with increased rainfall and average to slightly below-average temperatures. Wind speeds are likely to reach 20-30 mph in exposed areas during these periods.
On the other hand, southern and eastern England appear more likely to experience warmer, drier spells, with temperatures potentially reaching mid-20s Celsius – occasionally touching 28C in urban centres. However, even here, these warm interludes will be punctuated by cooler changeable weather, preventing a continuous heatwave scenario. The risk of isolated thunderstorms during warmer periods also remains.
Looking ahead to early August, the north-west/south-east divide in weather conditions is expected to continue. While individual days may feel very warm – especially in southern regions – the overall trend suggests it won't be a repeat of extreme heat experienced in some previous summers. As such, the public is urged to monitor local forecasts for any outdoor activities or travel plans.
The Met Office continues to closely monitor atmospheric conditions and reiterates advice on staying hydrated, seeking shade during the hottest parts of the day, and being mindful of vulnerable individuals during periods of increased heat. No specific heat-health warnings have been issued for the coming week, but staying safe in warm weather remains a pertinent concern.