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UK firms issue highest number of profit warnings in two years

UK-listed companies issued 65 profit warnings in the three months to September, the highest level in two years, driven by rising costs linked to the Middle East conflict.

  • UK-listed companies issued 65 profit warnings between July and September 2026.
  • This marks the highest number of profit warnings in a two-year period.
  • Rising costs and geopolitical uncertainty, particularly the Middle East conflict, were key factors.

UK-listed companies issued 65 profit warnings in the three months leading up to the end of September, according to consultants EY-Parthenon. This figure represents the highest level of warnings in two years.

The increase in warnings is attributed to a surge in costs for businesses, with the conflict in the Middle East cited as a significant factor. Rising costs were the leading factor for 35% of warnings, while 38% specifically mentioned the impact of the Middle East conflict.

Housebuilders have issued more warnings this year than during the 2008 financial crisis, with 14 warnings in 2026 so far. Meanwhile, average two-year fixed mortgage rates have risen to 5.55% in October, up from 5.29% last month.

Chancellor John Healey is expected to deliver a tax and spending statement on 28 October. Measures to help high street businesses with rising costs, including a cut to business rates for small companies, are reportedly being prepared for the budget.

Why this matters: The increase in profit warnings suggests growing financial pressures on UK businesses, potentially impacting economic stability.

What this means for you: Average two-year fixed mortgage rates have increased to 5.55%, potentially adding about £250 to average monthly mortgage payments for a new loan.

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