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UK Housebuilding Downturn Eases in July, Still in Contraction

The decline in UK housebuilding activity slowed in July, marking the slowest contraction since October 2025, according to the latest S&P Global construction survey.

  • The housebuilding index rose to 41.8 in July from 35.9 in June, after nine months below 40.
  • The wider construction PMI also improved to 44.7 from 38.4 in June, though still indicating contraction.
  • Industry commentators highlight affordability, planning delays, and fragile buyer confidence as ongoing obstacles.

The downturn in UK housebuilding eased last month, with residential construction recording its slowest decline since October 2025. The S&P Global UK Construction Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for housebuilding increased to 41.8 in July, up from 35.9 in June.

Despite this improvement, housebuilding remains in contraction, as a reading below 50 indicates a decline in activity. The broader construction PMI also saw an uplift, rising to 44.7 from 38.4 in June, suggesting the sector is beginning to stabilise after a sharp downturn in the second quarter.

New orders reached their highest level since September 2025, although workloads continue to fall. Employment declined for the 19th consecutive month, but at the slowest rate since February, and business expectations improved to their strongest level since February.

However, industry experts caution that significant obstacles persist. Joe Sullivan of MHA noted that housing is still under pressure from affordability constraints, planning delays, and fragile buyer confidence. Richard Pike of Phoebus Software echoed these concerns, adding that economic uncertainty means many prospective buyers are delaying moves, making developers reluctant to bring forward new sites.

Kelly Boorman of RSM UK emphasised the need for greater clarity on housing funding and how barriers in planning, design, and procurement can be overcome. Maria Harris from the Open Property Data Association suggested that improving the speed and certainty of property transactions could also support housing supply, as slow and unpredictable processes reduce confidence for both developers and buyers.

Why this matters: The continued contraction in housebuilding, despite an easing downturn, indicates ongoing challenges in meeting housing demand and impacts the broader construction sector.

What this means for you: If you are a prospective buyer, affordability pressures and economic uncertainty may continue to influence your decisions, while developers may remain cautious about new projects.

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