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UK Mortgage Rates Climb to One-Month High Amid Middle East Tensions

UK average mortgage rates have reversed recent falls, reaching a one-month high as renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East drive up lenders' funding costs. This shift impacts millions of homeowners facing remortgaging in the coming years.

  • Average two-year fixed mortgage rates now stand at 5.58%, a one-month high.
  • Renewed Middle East tensions, including Houthi attacks, have pushed up oil prices to $100 a barrel, fuelling inflation fears.
  • Lenders, including the five largest High Street banks, have increased rates on new fixed deals.
  • Over five million homeowners are projected to see increased monthly mortgage repayments by the end of 2028.
  • Around 100 mortgage deals have been temporarily withdrawn as lenders reassess pricing.

The UK's mortgage landscape has taken a dramatic turn as average rates soar to their highest level in a month. Escalating tensions in the Middle East and concerns over global energy supplies have led lenders to hike borrowing costs for new mortgage deals. This shift has seen major High Street banks, including Barclays, HSBC, Lloyds, NatWest, and RBS, increase their rates on fixed-term mortgages.

The average rate for a new two-year fixed deal now stands at 5.58%, while the average rate for a five-year fixed deal is 5.6%. This marks a significant hike from recent lows, although it remains below the 5.9% peak seen in April during the initial Iran war. Moneyfacts data reveals that lenders are increasing their rates due to the reduced likelihood of interest rate cuts by central banks.

Oil prices have breached $100 a barrel for the first time since May, fuelling fears of higher inflation and limiting the prospect of rate reductions. The Bank of England's projections suggest around five million homeowners will see an increase in their monthly mortgage repayments by 2028. First-time buyers face reduced affordability, while existing homeowners on standard variable rates or approaching fixed-rate deal ends will face higher costs when remortgaging.

Finance expert Rachel Springall at Moneyfacts described the situation as "incredibly frustrating for borrowers," with approximately 100 mortgage deals temporarily withdrawn due to lenders reassessing their pricing strategies. Locking in a new deal with an existing lender or seeking advice from a mortgage broker is recommended for those needing to remortgage.

David Hollingworth of L&C Mortgages warned that borrowers hoping for ongoing rate cuts should "rethink," as the momentum has shifted towards rising fixed rates, at least in the short term. As lenders adjust their pricing strategies, existing homeowners and first-time buyers must navigate a complex market to secure the best deals.

Landlords may also face higher buy-to-let mortgage costs, potentially impacting rental prices or profitability. The uncertainty surrounding global events has left borrowers with limited options, highlighting the need for stability in the market.

Why this matters: Rising mortgage rates directly impact millions of UK homeowners and prospective buyers, increasing monthly costs and affecting housing affordability. This shift could cool the property market and squeeze household budgets across the country.

What this means for you: What this means for you: If you are an existing homeowner with a fixed-rate deal ending in the next year or a first-time buyer, you could face higher borrowing costs. Those on variable rates will likely see immediate increases in their monthly repayments.

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