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US Federal Reserve Expected to Announce First Rate Hike Since 2023

The US Federal Reserve is widely anticipated to raise interest rates today for the first time since 2023, amid persistently high inflation.

  • The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points.
  • This would bring the benchmark federal funds rate to a new target range of 3.75% to 4%.
  • Inflation has remained above the Fed's 2% target for over five years.

The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to announce an increase in interest rates today, marking the first such move since 2023. This decision comes amidst persistently high inflation, which has remained above the central bank's 2% target for more than five years.

It is anticipated that the Fed will raise interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point, or 25 basis points. This would set the benchmark federal funds rate within a new target range of 3.75% to 4%.

The central bank's last rate increase effectively concluded its response to the Covid pandemic. However, inflation has been further exacerbated by the ongoing conflict between Donald Trump's administration and Iran. President Trump has reportedly pressured the Fed chair, Kevin Warsh, to cut rates, stating that the US should have "the lowest interest rate in the world" regardless of economic data.

The Fed's decision is due to be released at 2pm ET, with Chair Warsh scheduled to hold a press conference at 2.30pm ET.

Why this matters: The decision comes weeks before crucial US midterm elections, where affordability and the cost-of-living crisis are major issues for voters.

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