Wales are almost certain to face a relegation play-off in March to retain their spot in the Nations League top tier, despite finishing bottom of Group A4. This follows their 3-1 defeat to Norway on Saturday, 14 November 2026.
Head coach Craig Bellamy expressed disappointment that Wales will not be among the top seeds for Euro 2028 qualifying, stating, "We wanted to be in pot one. That was the drive." The draw for the play-offs is scheduled for Friday, 20 November, at Uefa's headquarters in Nyon, Switzerland.
The two-legged relegation play-offs will take place at the end of March, with the first leg between 25-27 March and the second between 28-30 March. As a League A side, Wales will be seeded and play the second leg at home. Potential opponents from League B include Slovenia, Northern Ireland, Kosovo, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Scotland, Ukraine, Austria, the Republic of Ireland, and Poland.