Andy Burnham's arrival at 10 Downing Street marks a fresh start for Labour, but his domestic-focused agenda may ultimately lead Britain closer to the European Union than initially meets the eye. As he sets out to devolve powers and reassert state control over key industries, experts warn that his economic and security priorities could inadvertently realign London with Brussels.
Unlike his predecessor, Keir Starmer, who had made a concerted effort to repair relations with Europe through frequent international travel and diplomatic efforts, Burnham's initial strategy is decidedly more insular. However, while maintaining the UK's role in European security initiatives is crucial for upholding its international standing, analysts suggest that a closer engagement with the EU could be a vital step towards addressing the country's economic stagnation and declining living standards.
The effects of Brexit on trade and investment have had a profound impact on the British economy, contributing to widespread social discontent. Even without the imperative of security cooperation, experts argue that re-engaging with Europe as Britain's primary export market could foster healthier economic growth. As Burnham reassesses Labour's current 'red lines' on EU relations – which include no participation in the single market, no customs union, and no freedom of movement – he may be able to garner public support for a more ambitious approach.
European governments are likely to welcome enhanced defence and security cooperation with the UK, particularly through initiatives like the 'made in Europe' programme aimed at strengthening European sovereignty over critical technologies and supply chains. However, they will remain cautious of any attempts by Britain to selectively benefit from the EU market without accepting associated responsibilities.
Joël Reland of the UK in a Changing Europe thinktank notes that while Burnham may appear less overtly pro-European than Starmer, his economic and security agenda could actually bring London closer to Brussels. The parallels between Burnham's ambition for 'sovereign capabilities' in industrial sectors and the EU's drive for greater 'strategic autonomy' are striking, Reland argues. With similar challenges facing both Britain and Europe, Burnham may be forced to confront the economic realities stemming from Brexit and consider a more cooperative approach with his European counterparts.