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Commuter areas see stronger house price growth than UK cities

New research indicates that house price growth in commuter areas is outperforming that within the major UK cities they surround, with London showing the largest disparity.

  • Commuter belts around 12 major UK cities recorded stronger annual house price growth than their urban centres.
  • London showed the widest gap, with city prices falling by 3.7% while its commuter belt saw a 0.9% increase.
  • Cardiff had the second-largest difference, with city prices rising by 2.9% compared to 6.7% in surrounding commuter areas.

House price growth in commuter areas is currently outpacing the cities they encircle, according to new research. This trend was observed across all 12 major UK cities analysed by Yopa, which compared annual house price growth in urban centres with their surrounding commuter belts.

The most significant difference was recorded in London, where prices in the capital fell by 3.7% over the past year. In contrast, values in its commuter belt increased by an average of 0.9%, creating a 4.6 percentage point gap.

Cardiff experienced the second-largest disparity, with city prices rising by 2.9% while its surrounding commuter areas saw average growth of 6.7%. Other cities like Nottingham and Birmingham also showed similar patterns of stronger growth outside their urban centres.

Even in some larger northern cities, commuter areas outperformed. Glasgow's commuter areas recorded 5% average growth compared to 2.5% in the city, and Manchester's surrounding areas saw a 2.7% rise versus 0.5% within the city.

However, the difference was narrower in some locations. Bristol city prices increased by 2.2% compared to 3.2% in surrounding areas, and Liverpool recorded 4.8% growth within the city versus 5.1% in its commuter belt. Leeds had the smallest difference among the cities analysed, with prices rising by 3.7% in the city and 3.8% in surrounding areas.

Verona Frankish, CEO of Yopa, suggested that higher mortgage rates have made buyers more cautious about spending. She noted that while staying within a favourite city might have been feasible with lower mortgage rates, it now comes with a considerably higher monthly cost. Commuter belts can offer an alternative, allowing buyers to remain near cities while potentially securing more home for their money or purchasing at a more suitable price.

Why this matters: This shift suggests a change in buyer behaviour, potentially driven by affordability considerations related to mortgage rates.

What this means for you: If you are looking to buy a home, commuter areas around major cities may offer stronger house price growth or more affordable options compared to city centres.

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