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Global cancer cases projected to rise 67% by 2050, says WHO agency

The International Agency for Research on Cancer forecasts a significant increase in cancer diagnoses and deaths, with poorer countries expected to be most affected. Dr. Zainab Shinkafi-Bagudu, the first African to lead the Union for International Cancer Control, aims to address these disparities.

  • The International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) projects an annual rise in cancer cases of 67% to over 34 million by 2050.
  • Cancer deaths are forecast to increase by 79% to 17.5 million by 2050, with most additional deaths expected in low-income countries.
  • Dr. Zainab Shinkafi-Bagudu, president-elect of the Union for International Cancer Control (UICC), is the first African to lead the organisation.

Global cancer cases are projected to increase by 67% to more than 34 million annually by 2050, according to figures from the World Health Organization's International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC). Deaths from the disease could reach 17.5 million, marking a 79% increase, with most additional deaths anticipated in low-income countries.

Dr. Zainab Shinkafi-Bagudu, a Nigerian paediatrician and advocate, has become the first African to lead the Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) as its president-elect. She stated that the forecasts highlight the need to reorient global cancer policy towards countries with already strained health systems, noting that "Cancer is tripling and is going to keep on increasing, and the people affected by it most are those from the global south."

Bagudu plans to use the UICC, which represents over 1,100 member organisations in more than 170 countries, to bridge the gap between countries with limited cancer services and those developing research, technology, and treatments. She also aims to support the development of a global cancer financing platform, modelled partly on the Global Fund to Fight Aids, Tuberculosis and Malaria, to mobilise resources for prevention, diagnosis, and treatment.

Her priorities include focusing on preventable cancers, childhood cancers, and liver cancer linked to hepatitis, alongside investment in diagnosis and treatment. Bagudu also seeks to increase Africa's role in cancer research, moving beyond being primarily a recipient of discoveries and training.

Why this matters: The projected sharp rise in cancer cases and deaths, particularly in poorer countries, highlights a growing global health challenge. The election of the first African to lead the UICC signals a potential shift in focus towards addressing disparities in cancer care and financing.

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