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Labour's 'Burnham bounce' not massive, says Sir John Curtice

Labour's poll ratings have improved since the new prime minister took office, but the party is still narrowly ahead of Reform.

  • Labour's poll ratings have improved since the new prime minister took office
  • The party is still narrowly ahead of Reform in the polls
  • Labour's victory in the Greater Manchester Mayoral by-election was convincing

The governing party's poll ratings have improved since the new prime minister took office, but they're only just ahead of Reform. Polls conducted in the last week put Labour on average in the mid 20s, its highest standing since the beginning of last year. However, with Reform polling only narrowly behind Labour, Burnham's party still has a long way to go before it can face the prospect of fighting a general election with confidence.

Why this matters: The outcome of the next general election will depend on whether Labour can maintain its current momentum and win back working-class pro-Brexit voters.

What this means for you: If you're a Labour supporter, you may be encouraged by the party's improved poll ratings, but it's too early to say whether this momentum will translate into a general election victory.

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