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Some rivers have lower flow despite increased rainfall, study finds

A new study indicates that some rivers are experiencing reduced water levels even with more rainfall, attributed to climate changes.

  • Nearly one-third of over 10,000 rivers analysed showed flow trends that did not align with changes in rainfall and snow.
  • More than 10% of rivers now receive more precipitation than 50 years ago but have lower flow rates.
  • The mismatch between rainfall and river flow is more common in areas with increased rainfall extremes and high evaporation.

A new study has found that some rivers are experiencing falling water levels despite receiving more rainfall than in the past. Researchers from Pennsylvania State University analysed precipitation and river flow records for over 10,000 rivers between 1951 and 2020.

Their findings indicate that in nearly one-third of these rivers, flow trends did not correspond with observed changes in rainfall and snow. More than 10% of rivers now receive more precipitation than they did 50 years ago but show lower flow rates.

This discrepancy appears more prevalent in regions where extreme rainfall events are becoming more common and where evaporation rates are high. The research, published in Geophysical Research Letters, highlights the intensifying hydrological cycle due to global heating.

Why this matters: Large cities obtain nearly 80% of their water from surface water sources, making understanding river flow crucial for future water availability.

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