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SpaceX Rocket Stage to Collide with Moon on Wednesday

A drifting SpaceX rocket's upper stage is set to unintentionally impact the moon on Wednesday, creating a new crater and a plume of dust.

  • The rocket's upper stage will impact the moon on Wednesday, near the Einstein Crater.
  • The collision is predicted to occur at 5,400mph (8,700km/h), equivalent to three tons of TNT explosives.
  • Scientists are keen to observe the resulting crater and ejected material to assess debris impact hazards for future astronauts.

A SpaceX rocket's upper stage, which launched lunar landers over a year ago, is on an unintentional collision course with the moon. The impact is expected to occur on Wednesday, creating a crater and releasing a plume of dust and rubble.

Space tracking expert Bill Gray predicts the impact will happen at 5,400mph (8,700km/h) near the Einstein Crater on the moon's sunlit western limb. The collision will pack the equivalent energy of three tons of TNT explosives.

While the impact flash will likely be too dim for Earth-based observation, the ejected material could stretch for several miles and remain visible to telescopes for tens of minutes. Scientists, including Benjamin Fernando from Los Alamos National Laboratory, are encouraging observations to understand the hazard debris impacts pose to future astronauts.

Fernando anticipates the impact will create a crater nearly 90ft across and 16ft deep, which will be too small to see from Earth but visible to spacecraft. Nasa’s Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter and South Korea’s Danuri lunar orbiter are expected to gather before-and-after images of the crash site.

Why this matters: The event highlights the increasing amount of space junk and offers an opportunity for scientists to study debris impacts on the moon, which could inform future astronaut safety.

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