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UK house price affordability at 11-year low, but mortgage costs rise

The gap between average UK house prices and median earnings has narrowed to its lowest point since 2015, according to new research from Lloyds Bank. However, higher mortgage rates are making home ownership challenging for many.

  • The average UK home now costs 7.3 times median earnings, down from 7.6 in 2025.
  • The average two-year fixed-rate mortgage deal is 5.93% as of 1 October 2026, up from 4.83% on 27 February 2026.
  • London and the South East remain the least affordable regions, while Scotland has the cheapest areas relative to earnings.

New research from Lloyds Bank indicates that the affordability of UK homes, when compared to earnings, has reached an 11-year low. The average UK home now costs 7.3 times median earnings, a decrease from 7.6 in 2025, marking the lowest ratio since 2015.

Between the second quarter of 2025 and the second quarter of 2026, the average UK house price increased by 0.5% to £299,131, while median earnings rose by 4.5% to £40,790. Despite this narrowing gap, higher mortgage rates are counteracting the trend, making home ownership difficult for many.

Data from Moneyfacts shows that the average two-year fixed-rate mortgage deal stands at 5.93% as of 1 October, an increase from 4.83% on 27 February. Lloyds also suggested that the average monthly mortgage payment increased from £1,100 to £1,157 between Q2 2025 and Q2 2026.

Affordability has also improved for first-time buyers, with the average property price for this group rising by 0.3% to £239,681 between Q2 2025 and Q2 2026. The average UK first home now costs 5.9 times median earnings, down from 6.1 in 2025, also the lowest figure since 2015. However, saving for a deposit, typically around £24,000 for a 10% deposit, remains a significant challenge.

London and the South East continue to be the least affordable regions, although their house price to income ratios have fallen. Northern Ireland was the only UK region where homes became less affordable, with house prices rising by 7.4% compared to a 3.7% rise in median earnings.

Why this matters: The narrowing gap between house prices and earnings could suggest an improvement in housing affordability, but rising mortgage rates present an ongoing challenge for prospective buyers.

What this means for you: If you are looking to buy a home, the gap between earnings and house prices has narrowed, but higher mortgage rates mean your monthly repayments could be higher.

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